OHHH what do you know? Who called those Final Four games like it's his job last week? Now granted, Kentucky didn't cover the spread, so technically that was a lost bet, but picking winners is all that matters (no it's not, fucking win by more than a point if the line is 1.5, assholes! Why didn't I take the fucking moneyline), and I got that shit on lockdown. So here we are, it's the "Championship" (which is the funniest thing to say ever in a totally crazy tournament format that doesn't represent the regular season whatsoever but is also the most beautifully fun sporting event there is), and these two teams earned they're spot in this game (got hot at the right time). So let's get right to breaking it down and giving a pick, shall we?
Kentucky vs. Uconn (Line UK -2.5)
So this is hard. I really have no idea. I look at the two teams right at this moment, and I say UConn wins only because they have had the more impressive wins leading up to this, and have done it in pretty cool fashion. I mean Florida really didn't have a chance to win that game, UConn was able to move the basketball with ease and attack that Florida zone. Guys had great individual effort, impressive shooting from all over the court, and to argue that this is a sign that these guys are firing at all cylinders is definitely not dumb. Meanwhile, Kentucky looks strong but they've also been pushed hard. That could be a positive in the sense that they've been battle tested and know how to come up big in the right moments (get me Aaron Harrison on the Sixers right now), but it also could be a sign that they do still have some flaws and are beatable if you exploit them properly. Randle still looks solid down low, but you can tell it's a lot of work for him to be pretty much the whole big man presence for the team, and if you factor in fatigue and any potential foul trouble, this could be a game where Calipari is pulling his hair out trying to figure out how to stop those UConn guards from driving down his D's throat.
But then I factor in the rest of the season. UConn looked dreadful at times, unable to score if Shabazz was off and easy to beat on D. Hell, they lost by 33 in their last game of the season to a Louisville team that Kentucky beat on their run to the finals. On the flipside, Kentucky also got smoked by Florida this year, so I guess that sort of makes that argument a wash. My point, though, is that this has just been a completely bonkers season and tournament, and nothing has really made sense up until now, so to think that Kentucky doesn't have just as good of a chance to win this game as UConn would be silly.
That said, I'm stickin with Shabazz. UConn basketball is just so good in these Final Four games and never lose if they make it this far, and I can't imagine that the history argument is any less valid than any other. Kevin Ollie has his boys playing fast and strong and they have the one guy they can trust for a basket when they need it, which Kentucky can't say as much. Yes, the Harrison twins are studs, yes Aaron has been clutcher than clutch, but those are big moments. You need the guy who can do that all game long in every different situation, giving you that steady production stream that Shabazz offers UConn. Kentucky has the most talent throughout, and I wouldn't be surprised if they take it down, but UConn is just flat out more fun to watch, and at this point I'll just go with that.
Pick - UConn + 2.5